Market Blog - Written by Doug Winter on Friday, January 30, 2009 14:36 - 7 Comments
Prooflike Gold Coinage: A Look at an Evolving Market
One of the newer promotions in the rare gold coin marketplace are coins that are Prooflike. NGC began designating Prooflike gold a few years ago (PCGS has yet to add this designation) and enough have been graded for a collector to get an appreciation of the relative rarity of these issues. What is a Prooflike gold coin, what is the market for these coins like and what does the future hold for Prooflike gold?
Generally speaking, when a pair of new dies is used to strike coins, they are highly polished. The first few hundred examples from this die pair (this number can be significantly less or more, depending on the type of design and the mint that produces the coin) are reflective. This degree of reflectivity can range from subtle to intense. Obviously, the more intense the degree of reflectiveness, the more desirable a coin is.
There are basically two tiers of “Prooflikeness” that gold coin collectors are concerned with. The first is the blanket term of “Prooflike” which means that a coin has a certain degree of reflectiveness on both the obverse and reverse. While there is no absolute standard of what constitutes a Prooflike gold coin (at least in terms of the depth of reflection) it is essential that a true P/L coin be reflective on both sides. A coin that is “deep mirror Prooflike” shows considerably more reflectiveness on both sides than one that is merely Prooflike. It resembles a Proof in appearance and it may have an attractive “black and white” appearance that is the result of contrast between the frosted devices and the mirror-like fields.
There is a very strong market for Prooflike Morgan silver dollars. Collectors began paying premiums for these coins as far back as the 1960’s and, today, deep mirror Prooflike (DMPL) dollars can sell for huge premiums over “normal” frosty or satiny coins. Interestingly, there is not much of a market for Prooflike silver coins above and beyond Morgan dollars.
I think the market for Prooflike dollars is as strong as it is for three significant reasons. The first is that a number of dealers back in the 1960’s and 1970’s did a good job of promoting these coins and getting the market jumpstarted. The second is that there are more Prooflike coins in the Morgan dollars series than in all other silver coins combined. Lots of coins equals the ability to promote these as a collectible. The third reason is the appearance of these coins. A high quality DMPL coin can be extremely attractive and a collector can easily appreciate why he should be paying a premium for such a coin.
The market for Prooflike gold coins remains in its infancy. Is there a possibility that Prooflike gold could become as popular as the market for Prooflike dollars? I think this is a small possibility that this could happen but in small, selective increments.
I feel that the one area of Prooflike gold that is likely to see the most “play” with collectors in the next few years is Liberty Head double eagles. I think this is going to happen for a number of reasons. The first is that Liberty Head double eagles are already popular, so it isn’t a big stretch for a collector to jump from “normal” examples to ones that are Prooflike. The second is that these coins are available enough to be actively traded but they are, at the same time, relatively scarce. The third and probably most important fact is that a high quality DMPL double eagle is extremely impressive from a visual standpoint.
As I mentioned at the beginning of this article, NGC has been grading Prooflike gold coins for long enough that a few conclusions can be reached.
Taking a look at double eagles, I note that NGC has designated 1,287 $20 Libs as Prooflike. But what is most interesting is the fact that only twenty-eight examples of this series have been designated as DMPL and of these just five have been graded higher than MS62. The conclusion that is most easily reached about DMPL examples is that they are quite scarce and pieces above MS62 are genuinely rare. This is especially true for any date other than the ultra-common 1904.
The current price record for a DMPL gold coin is, as far as I know, the $126,500 that was attained by an NGC MS64* 1866 double eagle that was sold by Heritage in their 2008 ANA auction.
From examining auction prices, it seems that predictable price levels for DMPL $20 Libs are starting to be recognizable. MS61 and MS62 examples of non-1904 dates seem to be bringing in the $2,000-3,000 range. The few MS63 examples that have traded have brought in the $4,000-6,000 range. Coins in MS64 and higher are rare enough that it is hard to establish price levels.
In closing, I have a few personal thoughts about Prooflike gold coinage.
A number of 19th century gold coins are easily found with Prooflike or even deep mirror Prooflike surfaces. The most prominent of these include gold dollars from the 1880’s and three dollar gold pieces from this era. I do not think that collectors should, in most cases, pay a premium for these. The exception would be for a DMPL coin that had really great eye appeal.
Many DMPL gold coins have poor eye appeal due to the fact that the reflectiveness of their surfaces accentuates marks or abrasions. I would be careful paying a large premium for an ugly DMPL coin, even if it is a rare issue.
I mentioned above that I think that Liberty Head double eagles are likely to be the only series that collectors will pay close attention to PL and DMPL issues. My second choice for the series most likely to have some degree of date-by-date popularity would be Liberty Head eagles. The PL and DMPL issues that I would suspect collectors would like most would be the New Orleans coins from the 1890’s.
7 Comments
Doug: Do you think PL premiums will shrink as more coins get designated? For example, many gold dollars in the 1880s typically come prooflike, but few few have been holdered as such by NGC (yet). Currently, the PL coins are bringing decent premiums, but as more of them get designated, do you think the premium will drop?
What this feels like is how many ways can we slice and dice the coin market. One day we might even find a way to “grade” the toning on coins – how close to a natural rainbow do we have here? Every dealer and collector worth their salt will have a spectrometer! Then we will have to resubmit every coin in a slab for “enhanced grading”. Once upon a time we had unc. Go back to early Red Books, early price lists and early catalogs. I guess it is the normal evolution of the game but I wonder when it will end? It won’t. More ways to collect and evaluate the material in the marketplace. Is this simply a marketing ploy or an enhancement to the hobby?
Martin:
I think you are missing the point. In a popular series like Liberty Head double eagles, if you have a scarcer date with a spectacular DMPL appearance, why shouldn’t it be worth a premium? What NGC has done by designating these coins is to give collectors the ability to determine quantitatively how rare (or not rare) such coins are.
MRB:
I would agree that these premiums for certain types will shrink. As I mentioned in the article low mintage gold dollars from the 1880′s that are PL are supposed to come that way (!) and really do not deserve a premium. But I would suggest that an 1852 gold dollar in MS64 DMPL probably does deserve a decent premium due to its rarity and appearance. Coins that deserve to sell for a premium probably will continue to do so while those that do not will not.
Perhaps I have the wrong approach here, but I have not really considered prooflike gold as a “new market”, but instead as a subclass of coins that may be very attractive and interesting to acquire for one’s collection. That is, if you are choosing between a dirty, original coin and a natural, prooflike coin, perhaps you would choose the latter, as a delicacy, because you find it to be more attractive.
That’s the beauty of our hobby, that one person can collect Jefferson nickels in AU, the next person will look for gems, and another will seek out full steps. And so on and so on. Dependenant on the financial resources, the willingness to self educate, mentoring by those more knowledgable, all these and more can allow us to take our hobby in the direction that we want it. I have been actively purchasing gold coins since 1996 and centered in on the $3.00 series begining in 1999. Somewhere around 2002 to 2004 I began focusing my collection on as much prooflike coinage as was possible. Why? Because I prefer the “look”. When turning the coin under a light and especially if it is prooflike- Blam- it hits you. Now as Doug infers the $3.00 series has many prooflike coins in it’s 41- coin run, but not every year or mint can be found prooflike. Some are frosty, satin, cartwheel lustrous, semi-prooflike, prooflike, and blazing cameo prooflike. Part of the fun in collecting is what can you find out there and what is out the ordinary. Whether it be the year, mint, variety, die stage, toned, untoned, complete full strike, etc. (Beauty is in the eye of the beholder). In the future there will be a place for collections such as these and I believe that they will command a premium, just don’t know if it will be in my lifetime.
BTL: Your note wins the DWN Prize for the most clearly articulated and salient response to a blog that I have yet received. Almost makes me want to write a book on Threes (wink, wink…)





MRB - Feb 1, 2009 01:15 am